Moderna raises growth outlook as vaccine sales and newer products gain momentum

Moderna raised its 2026 revenue-growth forecast to 15%–25%, up from its previous outlook of growth of up to 10%.

Third-quarter revenue rose 29% year over year to about $1.31 billion, driven mainly by stronger COVID-19 vaccine sales overseas and deliveries under government partnerships.

The company is expanding beyond COVID vaccines:
its newer mNEXSPIKE vaccine is contributing, while its recently approved mFLUSIVA flu vaccine is expected to have a limited U.S. launch in 2026.

Moderna also pointed to positive late-stage results for its experimental personalized melanoma vaccine, developed with Merck, as part of its longer-term growth pipeline.

The updated outlook is encouraging, but current sales growth is still largely tied to COVID vaccine demand; newer products are only beginning to contribute.

Sources:

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